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Pakistan has opportunity to gain economic dividend from US-Iran mediation: analysts

Pakistan’s role in mediating a peace agreement in the Iran conflict has drawn broad diplomatic praise, raising hopes of possible economic gains for Islamabad. However, analysts caution that such benefits are unlikely to significantly ease the country’s structural economic challenges.

US Vice President JD Vance reportedly greeted Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff, Field Marshal Asim Munir, in the Swiss resort town with the words, “This guy. What’s up, man?” before giving him a hug. Several global leaders have since praised Islamabad for its role in helping defuse a conflict that could have disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, strained global energy supplies, and destabilised the world economy.

The diplomatic success has elevated Pakistan’s international standing, with analysts suggesting the country could potentially convert the goodwill into economic gains. However, they caution that any benefits are unlikely to address long-standing structural issues in Pakistan’s economy, including inequality, a narrow tax base, and continued reliance on IMF support.

Pakistan has set economic targets of 4.0% growth and 8.2% inflation for the upcoming fiscal year, compared with an estimated 3.7% growth in fiscal 2026 and an average inflation rate of 6.7% during the current period.

Finance ministry adviser Khurram Schehzad said countries that combine internal stability with constructive international engagement tend to attract stronger investor confidence. He added that Pakistan’s growth-focused economic agenda and improved diplomatic reputation could help draw investment into infrastructure, technology, and emerging sectors.

Some analysts expect possible financial concessions from the United States, although there is no evidence yet of any direct or immediate economic windfall.

According to Alex Vatanka, senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, Pakistan may become more integrated into broader regional political and economic frameworks. He added that any easing of sanctions on Iran could also significantly boost cross-border trade between Iran and Pakistan, particularly via Balochistan.

Former finance minister Miftah Ismail similarly noted that sanctions relief could unlock substantial trade opportunities between the

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